It isn't one or the other - it can't be. It won't be.
Assuming they all worked perfectly, which I expect they will, eventually,
... there will be a number of alternative communications options ("delivery channels") on most (but maybe not all) devices.
We already know keyboard and "precision pointing devices" (in which category I include mouse and drawing tablet, for purposes of this discussion.) We have seen touch screens (pointing, gestures and handwriting) as well as camera captured no-touch gestures, even WII-style location devices (or think of the chip in the football some soccer managers want to see as determining whether a ball was "in".)
I would also include identification chips (like RFID, smart cards or passport chips) as special input technologies, even bar code scanners. And we have seen the arrival of biometric scanners (retina, fingerprints.)
So, as you see, it can't be about one replacing the other completely. It is about computers being enabled to interact with humans (and animals?) in a number of ways, roughly equivalent to our senses. We haven't sspecifically discussed it yet, but what is wrong with the sense of smell?
And let's not forget that we can build into computers sensory input devices that use channels that humans are insensitive to. Bluetooth and WiFi are just two examples where we have taken the concept of electromagnetic input beyond the optical spectrum. So that should also be counted.
Of course, we will also see a similar selection of output options for "flesh-and-blood" consumers.
Intel, think again!
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