Both formats will be around for a while longer...
As, most others here have noted, this is the same song, just new players - Beta vs. VHS. With all due respect, I don't believe that Porn's favoring VHS made that big of an impact on the final result as much as the price of the players / recorders. VHS got cheaper faster and had longer record times if I remember correctly (I was 12 years old when this Beta vs. VHS was going on). The reason my lower middle class family bought a VHS system rather than a Beta Max was economics... cheaper price. If that was the criteria today concerning which one would prevail, then HD DVD would be kicking Blu-Ray's butt. However, the big difference today, as opposed to the Beta vs. VHS, is that the studios have, for the most part lined up on one format or the other, instead of releasing titles in both formats. The reason they can do this, is because they have the Standard DVD format to cushion them, which is still the big game on the block, due to the fact that nearly everyone has a standard DVD player, that watches movies at home on a recorded media. At $50 a pop for a DVD player, it will be a long time before HD DVD or Blu-Ray can threaten the hold Standard DVD format has on the market. It is also for that reason... all studios are still releasing their titles in Standard DVD as well as their pick of the HD formats, that will prolong this format battle, unlike Beta vs. VHS, when it was there was no cushion format so both formats were used by most if not all studios to get maximum consumer market saturation. That leaves the fate of the formats up to the techees and the folks that just like to try to impress the Jones down the street or the guys at work, as the affluence of these folks will likely decide the viability of the formats to continue. If we start to see the studios give in and start releasing their titles in both formats, it will likely come down to who has the cheapest and most reliable players available.
One last note, I have seen both Blu-ray and HD DVD players in demo displays at the local electronics stores, and both worked without pixeling (Tiling) or jitters. The only player I saw that had pixeling issues was the PlayStation 3's at Wal-Mart during game demos. Of course I haven't read any bad reviews from Home Theater magazine or other such publications concerning pixeling during Blu-Ray movies. Maybe I missed that article, but if it were a common problem with that format, I would have expected to have read about it somewhere other than here.
Anyway, the first of the dual-format players should begin arriving in the 2nd quarter of this year, I believe I read on CNet reviews. And while very expensive to begin with ($1300.00 SMRP), maybe by this time next year the dual players will be starting to get reasonable, and it will very likely drive the prices of both single format High Def players down enough for us tight-wads to buy one!
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