Predictions for 2009
by gconnery - 1/2/09 2:39 PM
In Reply to: 2009 Predictions by robstak
iPhone: 32GB. Turn by Turn nav (paid app) will be released.
iPod: Touch will replace Classic in some fashion, either by adding a 120GB (or so) disk version, or by expanding flash to 100GB+ by EOY.
Netbooks: Apple WILL release a netbook, which will be seen as game changing, though it will sell for a somewhat ridiculous for netbooks $699 price point. 10-11" screen. Perhaps a non-Atom processor. Also, Sony will release a netbook as well, again somewhat high-end for a netbook. Aside from Apple, most attempts to increase the average price of netbooks will fail.
Macbooks: No touchscreens.
SSDs: Will continue to get faster over the year, and by year end we can see the end for hard disks in many applications, so lets say netbooks and laptops at least. Power savings and performance will come with Windows 7.
Windows 7: Will arrive by summer and be seen as a reasonable success. Big hits: netbook support, and DirectX 11 which will enable encoder offloads to graphics cards, which will see significant support by EOY.
Apple TV: Apple will add Blue Ray to its Apple TV, though no DVR capabilities. Software will otherwise be largely unchanged. Boxee will be a significant hit.
Android: A large number of Android phones will be released and the platform will be a bonafide hit by EOY. Motorola in particular will have a significant hit with one model.
Car Tech: Will be seen as a major driver of new sales, often more important than other features, at least in high end models. There will be attempts to make some of the tech (like the GPS) upgradable. Somebody will finally crowd-source traffic, by distributing a free application for both Android and iPhone using built-in GPS to track live traffic flow.
Twitter: Will be seen as not that important by EOY.
Social Networking: Another bubble collapses.
Microsoft will buy (some of) Yahoo!
Hulu/ABC/CBS web show support will migrate to all of the major boxes, including XBox, Apple TV, etc.
VOD availability over the internet will become more common place and the dates will move closer to DVD release dates. Prices will be higher though.
BluRay will be a moderate success, as prices continue to fall and Profile 2.0 models drop below $200. Attempts to add new features to prop prices up will be largely unsuccessful.
There will still be no one-box-to-rule-them-all to get your internet video to your TV. No box will do everything.
SlingPlayer will be a failure, and removed from the market by EOY.
AppleTV will be seen as a moderate success by EOY.
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