Preditions for 2008
by mrloon - 1/2/08 9:14 PM
In Reply to: 2008 predictions by thriftyT
Contrary to previous comments, I believe that wireless for handhelds is going to drop. Why you ask? Look at what a handheld can do, and I mean in the fact of the user not having access to a laptop at all or using the handheld for a teathered modem: email, phone, and in some cases GPS. Beyond that, useless. Show me one salesperson who can honestly say he can, like the commercials, do all of his/her editing of presentations/spreadsheets/word processing on a handheld without the use of a handheld -- again nothing. What I predict that we will see is laptops and tablets merging. What I mean by that is simply the laptop becoming thinner, allowing the screen to simply slide inside (no flip top cover stuff), quad core with more memory and drive space, and wireless-N by default. Unless handhelds can be produced that remove the screen and keyboard, giving more room for larger memory/storage/speed, and in place project the screen and project the keyboard (as there are projecting keyboards on ThinkGeek and 3D prototype screens created already), the handheld will be nothing more than an overbloated keyboard. For other technology:
- Plasma shelved since LCDs are cheaper to produce and comparable
- Desktops all but eliminated (go to the large corporations out there, and you're hard pressed to find someone using a desktop instead of a laptop)
- Memory replacing mass storage (conserve power, increase speed of file transfer/paging)
- Microsoft/Apple offering Windows Mobile / IPod combinations on devices, to compete with Research In Motion for the corporate side and Nokia/Motorola for the consumer side
- Nintendo to offer wider range of controllers/games that use glove/shoe devices, marketing their game stations as replacements for personal trainers and cardio gym memberships (don't laugh, senior citizen homes are already purchasing Wii's to help keep their residents healthy and in shape, and it's working well)
- cable/dsl technologies to fade within two years, with residential services done via fiber optics for half the current costs of dsl/cable, billed/controlled as local city services.
- For the US, if Democrats win all internet traffic fully monitored for any and all traffic (Hollywood are the Democrats friend -- still think they'd let you do peer-to-peer in private) and if Republicans win service will remain the same as now but voice over IP (VOIP) all routed through Homeland Security offices (being it's data so no problems to capture and save all conversations, including all the details of originator/destination) if it isn't already the case
- With the oil over $100/barrel now, China about to import cars selling for less than $10,000, India about to import cars selling for less than $2500 (don't believe me, do a search) and the Big Three fighting to keep afloat, will succumb to use of hydrogen cars (hydrogen in -- water out, no reliance OPEC, nice big banner to show industrialized West is being much more caring of environment over import nations, etc), and though realizing cars may break down less, know green factor will sell much more cars to those currently taking public transit.
So, in a nutshell, healthy/powerful products in, underpowered/polluters out, and either way on the election will mean privacy lost one way or another.
Happy 2008 to all. 
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