Dr. Karl's predicitons:
by robstak - 12/31/07 3:33 PM
In Reply to: 2008 predictions by thriftyT
K, these are kinda general and I'm sure repeated, but I've stalled long enough...
1) 2008 is the year of wireless. BT headphones and speakers go mainstream. Home automation from your cell phone b/c...
2) 2008 is the year of the touchscreen. While the microsoft surface is still some time away, everyones obsession with the iphone interface is fed in some pretty ridiculous ways, but also in some good ways (see below)
2) 2008 is also the year of the smartphone.
a) 2nd Gen iPhone drops.
b) 1st Gen iPhone taught people about smartphones, HTC has some great phones on the horizon.
c) WM7 is good, but Android really starts to take off. OS war in 2009.
Either way everyone realizes smartphones are the wave of the future; sales skyrocket. On a slightly larger scale...
3) based on the success of the eee, palmtop computing gets huge; everyone hails the Palm Foleo as ahead of its time. Major brands like Dell jump on board. But of course these'll also have wireless broadband.
4) prediction 2 + 3 = cell-co's get everyone onto the mobile web. Business booms even without 4G.
5) Music and Movies.
a) Music DRM collapses. Studies are published proving DRM is a waste, funding is cut to the RIAA and we are free. All 4 major labels are now on board.
b) Movies and TV however are still years behind, HOWEVER, on-demand goes full speed and the majority of tv shows and movies will be available online immediately after their original airing.
c) Advertisers will realize what a huge market this is as Hulu becomes huge.
d) Also Joost fades away and IPTV does nothing.
e)Finally streaming delivery goes HD with solid set-top boxes and more fiberoptic wires in your neighborhood.
6) With HD streaming and the continued expansion of on-demand content, the DVD format war continues to be a stalemate, but both sides take a hit. Blue-Ray drops to $150 by black friday to compete with HDDVD.
7) More cheap PC's. Despite bad reviews, cheap PC's continue to sell, even with Linux. Prices for mainstream computers will continue to drop becuase of this competition. Dell offers a new PC for $200.
8) Microsoft. The vista debacle blows over in 2008. Also, next gen Xbox is announced as well as plans for an xbox portable device, maybe with the zune namesake.
9) Seeing green. Green is clearly the new pink... or is it black? Ppl continue to brag about how much better for the environment their products are. The public gets fed up.
10) No web 2.0 burst, social networks become even more integrated into work environments with collaberative tools and the such. Banking even takes off...
11) Mint and the such go big as everyone becomes ok with managing their money online. Old fuddy-duddies still stash cash under their matresses, but when the mortgage crash finally levels out in Q3 of 08 people start investing their money again, Mint and similar sites get big, and online banking becomes the standard.
12) Finally, a little medical prediction. Electronic Medical Records become the standard to be judged against, FINALLY!!!
That's what I got for now. I guess most of these aren't big leaps, but hopefully they are right!
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