Following the current Beacon fiasco, Zuckerberg's increasing commercialization of Facebook will start a mass migration to the next social network.
I think I agree with this guy.
http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2704,2222790,00.asp
I don't actually belong to MySpace or Facebook, in a sense because of the things mentioned in the article, but mostly because I don't need the internet to keep track of personal friends. I belong to a number of communities, like this one, where I can discuss specific topics with interested strangers. I think the holy grail of social networking will be an aggregator of some sort. I think the farther we go into social networking, the more it will become a niche market for specific interests.
One of those niche markets, though, will always be 'Narcissistic 16-24 year olds who want to be cool and clichey'. And that market is just about done with Facebook.
Really social networks are much more efficient at finding people and topics of interest to you. So they're like yellow pages, and ads have to supplement their existence, like Yellow pages ... people are starting to combine meeting people with entertainment topics like http://www.JustExpressing.com combines stories, discussion forums and social networks
I predict that people will start leaving Microsoft in droves for Macs and Linux distributions like Ubuntu. Really, If people are going to have to learn a new operating system, and the only good thing people are saying about Vista is security, then why bother spending the money. I predict that there will be better support on a local level for Ubuntu and because of that support, people will take advantage of that support system, starting the demise of Microsoft's stranglehold on the OS market. I might go so far as to say that Microsoft will stop being an operating system company. As far as I am concerned, this is already starting to happen. Windows programs on Macs? There is a sign.
-JoefromWestSide
That's double what it was just a year ago.
Hello, Buzztown!
Third year for the Prediction Show! I love it, especially when someone (Tom) is comically off course.
Last year, I said:
- Wii would win the console war over PS3 (definitely yes)
- Apple would grow phenomenally (stock price doubled)
- Blu-ray would disappear because everyone would download movies (ha, no)
So I’m 2 for 3.
This year, I’m thinking BIG THINGS WILL HAPPEN:
- Vista will DIE. Windows will yank it off the shelves completely. Welcome back, ye old XP.
- Live TV online: I’m thinking maybe CNN or MSNBC, they seem like good candidates because
their timeliness makes their programming valuable.
- Beatles on iTunes. But really, who cares at this point?
- The SDK for the iPhone will launch iPhone sales into the stratosphere. Soon,
even Molly Wood will drool over an Apple product. Well, that might be asking a lot.
- And you heard it here first, Veronica will return to BOL at least part time.
We all miss her a lot, and those Mahalo videos just aren't the same.
Love the podcast! Can’t wait for the 2008 Prediction Show!
Mike Katz
Arlington, VA
As much as I'd like to say that Vista will die, I highly doubt it. MS has way too much cash and market share to let that happen. I predict that after SP1 adoption will actually speed up.
CNN already has LIve video on their website, but it's a live feed of their International branch. They added it when they re-designed their site a few months ago. It's pretty darn good, too! I think more networks will jump on board and it will be lead by the deals made with the striking writers.
I think Apple will upgrade the iPhone enough to keep it relevant, but it won't be a huge overhaul. Helio or Google's Android OS will probably have the big "It Phone" of the year, if there is one.
Zune will become #2 - even if by the skin of it's teeth - and then Apple will finally put wifi in ALL of their iPods, darn it!
"Veronica will return to BOL"? Im very very hopeful.![]()
2008 will be an historic year for iPod: It will be the first year that iPod sales will decline (2008 total sales < 2007 sales).
Partially because of competition by the excellent Zune, but mostly due to market saturation and mass migration to integrated devices (e.g. smart phones, music phones)
Here are some of my predictions. Some might be a bit far fetched:
1. Wii sales will slow down slightly in early 2008. But will soon be back to an all time high when Wii Fit and Smash Bros Brawl are released. (Stock will increase but will still not be enough for the high demand until summer or later in the year.)
2. Apple will release a Tablet PC that will have Multi touch technology but will be missing an optical drive or a keyboard. (It will not be as big as a MacBook)
3. HMD (Head mounted displays) will be revolutionized with new organic LCD technology. But nobody will really know what to use them for... yet.
4. More and more affordable robots will be made and will be used for housework and heavy lifting.... no "Benders" yet.
5. Computer hackers will inadvertently send a virus (Via Wi-Fi) to the robots which give them the processing power of the worlds computers. Robots will then either fix global warming. Or take over the world.
Can you keep a secret? This is a portal to there base:
http://www.hasbro.com/transformers/
More about the robots:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2TrJl-kU1Oc
But that's bound to happen evetually. As mp3 features become as common place and accepted as cameras in phones. I think people will have less reason to buy nanos.
I think this is the whole reason apple got into the phone market.
The integrated 'smart' devices will never completely replace a standalone MP3 player. The reason is price. More specifically, monthly fees. Anyone can buy and use an MP3 player without additional strings. But, only certain people can afford the monthly price tag that rides along with most smart devices. Until prepaid service comes to the masses and includes phones such as the iPhone, for this reason the smart devices won't replace no-monthly-fee standalone devices. I also don't see the sales of standalone MP3 players declining for this reason.
MP3 player sales may decline, but for other reasons. If the RIAA actually wins the case that proves 'steals just one copy', then MP3 devices are in danger of becoming a 'piracy' device and we turn back to the clock to the days of the original Rio. This reason alone is enough to cause MP3 devices to decline in sales.
--
Brian W.
| Forum legend: | |
| Locked thread | |
| Moderator | |
![]() |
CNET staff |
![]() |
Samsung staff |
| Norton Authorized Support team | |
| AVG staff | |
| Windows Outreach team | |
![]() |
Dell staff |
| Intel staff | |