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Car Tech: Hybrids are they really good for the enviroment?

by mfodish - 5/3/07 10:17 PM
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Post 61 of 79

Of course.

by Andy77e - 7/15/07 2:55 AM In reply to: please cite sources by cwerdna

I guess I get a little tired *sometimes* at having to lead everyone by the hand to get information. I feel like I should be paid to do this much research.

Anyway. You are right about the CO2, and I should have not said it in that fashion. After a cars catalytic converter has sufficiently heated up, the car *should* produce nothing but CO2. As I said before, I was in automotive technology for 2 years, and worked at a dealership for 2 years. We had a smog tester there, and in testing, once a car reached normal operating temp, HC was near zero, NOx was barely even showing up at all, and CO was gone.

Now, this is a combination of first hand experience and what I was taught in college. I still have my old text book "Automotive Technology, A systems approach" by Jack Erjavec. Of course that's meaningless to you.

I looked at the data on the EPA site. It seems really skewed. I can't say why, but just the numbers seem off to me. However, I honestly have no interest in investigating this further. So, if you want to say I'm full of it, or made it all up, feel free, I just don't care enough.

Nonetheless, this increases my belief that we should move to Diesel.

Moving on: this issue of CO2 is important to me. Yes the ppm of CO2 has increased from 280 to 379 in 2005. However, if you check the data from the arctic ice core samples, you'll find that CO2 levels have varied greatly in the past, assuming we can trust that data. If we can't then we have no basis to assume the rise or fall is un-natural. If we can trust the data, then this variance is normal because in the past CO2 have been naturally higher and lower, than they are now.

One big issue here is sections of the carbon cycle, that scientist simply label "carbon sinks". The reason is, we have little understand of where the carbon goes, or what happens to it. So how do we know an unknown carbon sink doesn't vary in it's absorption of CO2? We don't.

One thing we do know for certain, is that 90% to 95% of the "greenhouse" effect is cause by water in it's various forms (frozen,liquid,vapor). Further we know that only 3.4% of yearly CO2 output is human made. Thus, we are responsible for about 0.3% of the greenhouse effect. Even if you assume the we are totally responsible for the 100 extra ppm of CO2, that still means we caused a 20% increase, which works out to about 1.8% of the greenhouse effect.

Now the research indicates the total greenhouse effect raises the global temp by 33 °C. Then this means our 1.8% has caused at most 0.59 °C increase. In other words, less than the margin of error, and it assumes we are complete responsible for a 100 ppm increase when we only contribute 3.4% of the yearly produced CO2.

Some scientists now say evidences suggests CO2 only causes 4% of global greenhouse effect, which means our 3.4% of CO2 only causes 0.136% of the greenhouse effect, causing at most 0.00044 °C increase.

If you really are interested in this subject, I'd suggest just for starters, a 5 part video:

http://www.friendsofscience.org/index.php?id=158

This is an intro really. If you really want to know, you'll need to look into it yourself. But I think it's a good intro because some of the people on it are the actual scientists who reviewed the Kyoto protocol for the U.N. and supporting information.

Be well.

Post 62 of 79

as usual, assumptions and no citation of reliable sources

by cwerdna - 7/15/07 4:58 AM In reply to: Of course. by Andy77e

The point is those other emissions other than CO2 are NOT zero. Why else would vehicles be given different emissions ratings based on how much NOx, particulate matter, CO, etc. they produce? You really believe that air quality warnings are due to lots of vehicles running around w/o fully warmed up engines?

As for moving to diesel, why? Because they produce more of the above? BTW, hybrids are not tied to a specific fuel source. Diesel hybrids exist.

As usual, you've gone on thrown around a bunch of numbers which support your positions and made a bunch of calculations which seem to support it to. It's funny that you mention "Friends of Science". I'd not heard of the before, but apparently, they're a dubious group which receives a lot of funding from big oil. There are some mentions of this at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friends_of_Science and http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Friends_of_Science.

It's also funny that you mention arctic ice core samples. At the page I mentioned in my post http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/recentac.html, it says "See Figure 1 for a record of CO2 concentrations from about 420,000 years ago to present." Figure 1 leads to http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/recentac_majorghg.html#fig1. You can see the CO2 level fluctuations and see that we're MUCH higher than ever were going back 420,000 years.

Again, even if you think global warming caused by human activities and CO2 emissions is all BS, what about the other harmful pollutants?

Post 63 of 79

As expected, close minded.

by Andy77e - 7/15/07 2:05 PM In reply to: as usual, assumptions and no citation of reliable sources by cwerdna

Yes yes yes, blaw blaw blaw. As I said, I'm not interested in pursuing that information.

That's fine that diesel hybrids exist. Make a point, or move on. As for why we should move to diesels, one reason is that diesel are inherently more efficient. I'd site the VW TDI as an example, which some owners have claimed they can reliably get 50 or more miles to the gallon, without a hybrid system.

As for why we get air warnings, I think there's likely a number of factors. I would suggest cars are just one cause. Native natural emissions, sewer gas, factory emissions, electrical use, and just plain density of the population.

Look, I could flood this whole forum with facts and figures, and sources, but not to someone who is going to find some reason to ignore everything on some unimportant, insignificant, dubious information. Look at batman883 for example. Yeah he's skeptical, and yes he's weary of the information, but at least he's open to it.

That's the reason I start off with the intro. If someone refuses to at least consider what the 5 part movie says, then what's the point of me spending time research this? If you won't hear the very scientists that reviewed the Kyoto protocol, why would you listen to anything else?

A person convinced against his will, is of the same opinion still. Thus it's pointless for me to cite any sources or facts to you, and thus I won't. Until you are open to, just the possibility, that what you "know" is wrong, then I'm wasting your time, and mine.

I had hoped you'd be more open than this, even if you didn't change your view in the end. But alas, I was expecting too much from you.
Talk to you later. Be well.

Post 64 of 79

me? closed minded

by cwerdna - 7/15/07 3:26 PM In reply to: As expected, close minded. by Andy77e

You're just as set in your views as I am, except that you spout off "information" and assumptions, from unknown/uncited sources or are just plain wrong. Examples include your mention of CO2 levels as measured by arctic ice core samples, the claims that there were no commercial diesel powered ships w/sails, your inaccurate assumptions about the cost to drive electric cars, etc.

I'm not sure what you mean by "some of the people on it are the actual scientists who reviewed the Kyoto protocol for the U.N. and supporting information." The Friends of Science group is anti-Kyoto protocol.

As for the VW TDI, have you bothered to look it up at http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/sbs.htm? Since there are no 2007 VW Jetta TDIs, you can compare an 06 VW Jetta TDI to an 06 Prius. An automatic Jetta TDI is estimated to emit 6.4 tons of GHG/year vs. 4.0 of the Prius. The Jetta TDI gets a 1/10 (Tier 2 Bin 10) for emissions, so it's insanely dirty compared to the Prius and the majority of non-hybrid cars sold today. The Prius gets a 8 (Tier 2 Bin 3) or 9.5 (SULEV II/PZEV) for Cali spec models.

For a refresher, let's compare the limits for Tier 2 Bin 10 (Jetta TDI) in terms of grams/mile:
NOx: 0.60
NMOG 0.156
CO: 4.2
PM: 0.08
HCHO 0.018

to PZEV/SULEV II:
NOx: 0.02
NMOG 0.010
CO: 1.0
PM: 0.01
HCHO 0.004

Post 65 of 79

Yes, you are.

by Andy77e - 7/24/07 12:54 AM In reply to: me? closed minded by cwerdna

If you can't even look at the evidence before determining that the organization that is merely hosting the evidence is somehow linked to Oil Companies and therefore, no matter what they say, it must be wrong... you are closed minded.

Truth is not determined by funding. Let's say I'm an oil company CEO. 1+1=2... hey guess what? one plus one, will always equal two... even if I'm an oil company CEO! Shocking.

No I am not closed minded. I was more of a liberal eco-nut than you are. My history was as hard left as the DNC convention. Everything liberal I stood for. I was against "evil oil companies", I was against anyone remotely conservative, I was for gun control, for taxing the rich, for clean up the environment, CFC are bad, Ozone layer is being destroyed, were going to ruin the planet. I was as hard core left as one could get. I have a video of me in high school presenting a "save the planet" presentation to my mothers 4th grade class.

The problem is, unlike some people on this forum, I kept thinking. I kept reading up on various view points. I read up on all these issues and realized that most of them (not all) are flat out frauds.

Further, your point about me being wrong is irrelevant. Name one person on this whole planet that isn't wrong, and wrong routinely. Human beings are wrong all the time. Grow up. I never pretended to claim I was never wrong, and if I *was* never wrong, I wouldn't waste time being on this forum with other people because I would never learn anything from them.

See no is going to tell you anything, when you have already dismissed the information given. Why bother responding to the ice core sample information, when you'll just go off whining about how someone, who knew someone, said something to the effect that somewhere, a person who had some brother that worked for an oil company gave money to the research?

Do not cast your pearls before swine. Just look at your own post. You never watched the video, or you'd know exactly who I am talking about. So why should I waste any more time talking to you? Sigh... I am here by through with you. I want to talk to open minded people willing to discuss information. I can't learn anything from a rock, nor can a rock learn anything from me, so communication between us if null. Good day.

Post 66 of 79

Perhaps you are right about being reactionary, but....

by phrelin - 9/28/07 1:17 PM In reply to: Yeah they are all bad by Andy77e

You make a point. Being reactionary is not a solution. But thinking about the whole of the problem is a solution and many don't.

The concept of a safe, enclosed, comfortable self-propelled vehicle is not inherently bad. Perhaps there might be a good way for millions of individuals to travel 1 to 45 miles a day each way to work or school or whatever in such a vehicle. But right now, such travel is a major problem for the environment. No "environmentally friendly" self-propelled vehicle has been placed in the marketplace that is truly environmentally friendly when considered it in the context of millions of them, each on the road every day taking one person to and from a particular location, plus extras like shopping and recreation.

Within that context consider hydrogen fueled cars. They produce moisture. In such volumes as we might imagine, what would be the effect of that moisture? You don't see politicians discussing this because no one has effectively raised the question. If the technology were embraced as the hope for the future, and in that future my grandchildren's children learn that no one considered the extra moisture and it has ruined the environment, I would be the idiot they would think I was.

I do get a bit reactionary when holier-than-thou commuters embracing current solutions like "batteries plus engines" castigate SUV owners as a group. I do recognize that my, and my generation's, lifestyle was for 60+ years a major error based on greedy consumption and it still is.

But really, me and my adult children each buying a Prius would not be significant steps to undue my first 60 years. We have to find a way to recognize the dangers of conspicuous consumption and Mammon worship, and begin selling a process of life changes that will appeal to my 11-year-old granddaughter and her peers in Europe, Latin America, Asia, and Africa. GM and Toyota are not going to do that for us or her.

That is why I have a reactionary attitude towards the editors of Cnet writing about marginal changes in design as outstanding environmental solutions. If they can't see the big picture, no one will.

Post 67 of 79

Indeed

by Andy77e - 12/28/07 11:28 PM In reply to: Perhaps you are right about being reactionary, but.... by phrelin

It is ironic to hear this given that moisture is the single largest contributer to the greenhouse effect, more so than any other gas. Yet, the "greenhouse effect" is the very reason given as to why we need to move from gasoline cars to hydrogen cars, so badly.

This is why I always assume conventional wisdom is wrong. If there is any argument that everyone universally believes to be true, I automatically assume it's wrong. I can't count the number of times I found the truth by simply betting against the conventional wisdom.

I would suggest the only true 'environmentally friendly' solution is mass suicide. As long as man exists, man will have an impact on the world around them. The goal of most super environmentalists seems to be a goal of no impact, which will only happen when man no longer exists.

As for GM or Toyota bringing a better mode of transportation... if GM could sell a car with monkeys pushing it, they'd do it. This is what any business does. It sells a product. If they could sell solar powered cars, they would do it. Problem is, no one will buy a $200K one seater car without a trunk that stops when the sun goes behind a cloud. IF or WHEN the technology comes about, that allows the creation of a car that works better with less power and less emissions, the car companies will make it. Ford often sends out engineers to review technology patents, to see if there is something they might use to improve their products. All car companies do this.

Post 68 of 79

Transistion

by ashwin.chn - 7/12/07 8:59 AM In reply to: Hybrids are they really good for the enviroment? by mfodish

Hi,

I agree hybrid cars are not as environmental friendly as we like. But they are the best environment friendly we can get with current technology. We must adopt it till a better solution is found. To the question why we should make a change to wait. We must make a transition because its our moral responsibility to save earth in all possible ways

Post 69 of 79

silver bullet

by marc72 - 7/12/07 12:58 PM In reply to: Hybrids are they really good for the enviroment? by mfodish

We are dealing in alternative energy and feel we have the silver bullet.
Our process is the little known KDV depolymerization technology from Germany.

It does NOT use foodstock. It uses waste, and trash to product hi-grade, low sulfur diesel (much cleaner than we grew up with).

With a very environmentally friendly property, no harmfully emissions, carbon neutral, etc., it is far beyond the end product of biodiesel and even ethanol. And it impacts the importation of fossil crude from the Middle east without consuming all the corn on the planet and initiating the slash and burn of our rain forest (that's where our oxygen come from).

Post 70 of 79

Renewable sources for electricity will increase

by denise28 - 7/13/07 8:36 PM In reply to: Hybrids are they really good for the enviroment? by mfodish

I think plug in hybrids will be an overall improvement for the environment. Many ststes are legislating increased percentages of electricity to be produced by renewable sources such as solar, hydro, geothermal, wind, etc. With the help of big tax credits I put solar panels on my house two years ago and haven't paid for electricity since. I can't wait for a plug in car that I will recharge from my solar panel generated electricity for FREE!!!

The few things I have read on ethanol make it sound like it will actually take more energy to produce than it will provide.

As with all complex problems, I don't believe there will be any one solution.

Post 71 of 79

Carbon dioxide from a family

by bigduke - 7/22/07 7:25 PM In reply to: Renewable sources for electricity will increase by denise28

We have a Prius that got the original 3150 tax credit. It really helped for the recently filed return.

We are retired and carefully plan car use. So far in 18 months we have driven just under 10K miles. We use less than a tank a month and have taken two trips of about 2200 miles each. On the road we got 50-55 MPG . Former was at 70 mph and latter keeping at or below 65. More to the point is total carbon dioxide from the house and car.

When we moved in the original cheap furnace used 1000 gallons of oil a year. Forty-five years later and a couple of upgrades of furnaces we have averged just about 330 gallons per year.
Converting to carbon dioxide is left as an exercise. The oil is #2. Adding gas to oil results in about 108 galons for the motor fuel and our footprint is smaller than most.

Post 72 of 79

Hybrids

by mfodish - 11/26/07 6:53 PM In reply to: Hybrids are they really good for the enviroment? by mfodish

Some of my info about hybrid batteries are wrong. They are designed to last 150-200k miles. They also use NiHM batteries that can be recycled. http://www.hybridcars.com/faq.html#battery

I've enjoyed reading everyones response about hybrids. Debate is good, everyone learns something. :)

Post 73 of 79

Corn and Ethanol

by Dan Filice - 11/27/07 4:15 PM In reply to: Hybrids are they really good for the enviroment? by mfodish

Only a very tiny percent of the total corn production is corn meant for human consumption (canned corn, corn on cob, etc). The corn that we eat and the corn used for ethanol are two different corns. I'm still not sure that Ethanol is the answer, but I like the fact that we are at least starting to make Hybrids (even if they have problematic batteries) and hopefully we are beginning to realize that we don't need huge cars that only get 10 mpg.

Post 74 of 79

I do not get where this comes from

by Andy77e - 12/21/07 7:14 AM In reply to: Corn and Ethanol by Dan Filice

Ok yes, you are correct. The type of corn used for eating, and the type used for Ethanol is different. Great, peachy, that's good to know. Psst... problem... the field that either type of corn is grown in... is the same. Ooops...

So let's think this through. Supply and Demand rules apply. Farmer Ted Turner, is sitting there with millions of acres of land. He can either grow corn for eating on it and sell for market price, or he can make corn for ethanol, collect government subsidies (your money) and sell for the high cost fuel. So being the astute businessman that he is, he makes corn for Ethanol, and collects your tax money in his bank account.

Meanwhile, all those acres that used to make corn for food, are not... thus reducing the supply, thus increasing the cost of food.

Hint.. check out the cost of corn. It's higher now than it has been in decades. That cost will be passed on to nearly everything we eat because nearly everything uses corn syrup .

Post 75 of 79

No they are not good for the environment

by Ivan Thomson - 12/7/07 12:55 PM In reply to: Hybrids are they really good for the enviroment? by mfodish

Hybrids are not good for the environment. This is a mis-use of words. What is good for the environment is anything that has no impact upon it's natural functioning. Hybrids may do less harm (in the short term anyway) by getting better fuel milage and thus burning less fuel, thus releasing less carbon when compared to a conventional gasoline or diesel car. However, stating that Hybrids are good for the environment is like saying that drinking half the amount of mercury, arsenic or cyanide is good for you. It is not. What might be a more accurate statement is "Hybrids release less carbon and other emissions per mile of driving than conventional cars". And that is about all that you can accurately say about them.

Regardless, the better soltution (I think someone proposed here) is to go all electric... that is zero emissions cars. You will still have the issues of manufacturing and disposal of materials (especially in batteries) but you transfer all the emissions pollution issues back on to the power production plant. That is to say you turn a diffused source of pollution (million of individual cars producing pollution) into a more manageable point source of pollution (a few power plants). This then allows regulations to more easily tackle the pollution at the plant instead of having a huge overburden of trying to enforce emissions controls on millions of cars. Think about the pollution generated by that industry. Just the savings on producing all the paperwork alone would be great.

Anyway, as mentioned by others in here prior to my posting, hydrogen and ethanol are not good either. They consume vast amount of energy in production and still require the fuel delivery infrastructure (gas-stations, and delivery) along with their other problems (e.g. removing food from the supply chain when the world-wide food stocks are currently going down due to over population).

Anyway, the best (engineered) solution to any pollution problem is one in which turn diffued pollution to point source pollution. Thus is it easier to tackle, requires less resources and usually lessens the impact to the environment.

However, as we all know, engineers are not generally politicians nor are they a majority of voters and therefore, the most practical and best solutions rarely see the light of day. Therefore, the most likely implemented solution will be slow conversion to hybrids to reduce dependancy on oil (but not get rid of it), and introduction of ethanol cars (such as those used in Brazil and elsewhere). Since putting gas stations, refineries, and delievery companies out of business is not generally accepted by governments and economists.

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